Iran War

Conflict, ceasefire & nuclear

Trade "Iran War" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. Take a position with wallet sign-in and no KYC, settled in USDC across Ethereum, Arbitrum, and Base.

Outcomes

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? - YES ~100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? - YES ~100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? - YES ~100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? - YES ~100%
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? - YES ~99%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? - YES ~98%
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? - YES ~85%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - YES ~22%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? - YES ~2%
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? - YES ~1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? - YES ~1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? - YES ~1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? - YES ~0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? - YES ~0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? - YES ~0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? - YES ~0%