Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

This market tracks maritime traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a critical shipping chokepoint between the Red Sea and Indian Ocean. It resolves YES if the IMF PortWatch database records a 7-day average of 10 or fewer arriving ships on any day through June 22. The resolution uses official arrival data from IMF PortWatch, making this market a direct bet on whether geopolitical or other factors will severely disrupt shipping in this vital waterway.

Trade "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 1%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.