Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

This market tracks whether the Bab el-Mandeb Strait will experience a significant drop in maritime traffic by June 30. It resolves YES if the IMF PortWatch database shows a 7-day moving average of ship arrivals at the strait falls to 10 or fewer vessels at any point before the deadline. Resolution uses official IMF PortWatch data on "Arrivals of Ships" as the sole source, with the market settling as soon as the threshold is met or once the deadline passes.

Trade "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 4%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.