Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

This market resolves YES if 2026 ranks as the fifth-hottest year in the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index historical record. Resolution will be determined by NASA's official temperature data, with years ranked from hottest to coldest. If 2026 ties with another year, it will resolve according to that year's ranking. The market will settle as soon as the 2026 data becomes available, using NASA's unsmoothed temperature figures as the primary source.

Trade "Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 0%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.