Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

This market asks whether 2026 will be among the six hottest years ever recorded. It resolves YES if 2026 ranks sixth or better (lower number) when compared against all other years in NASA's Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. Resolution uses the unsmoothed temperature data from NASA's official dataset, released once 2026 data becomes available. If 2026 ties with another year, its ranking follows that year's position.

Trade "Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 2%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.

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