Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
This market tracks daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz using IMF Portwatch data. It resolves YES if any single day records 40 or more transit calls-including container, tanker, and cargo vessels-between now and June 30, 2026. The market settles automatically once verified data shows a qualifying day, or at the end of the timeframe if the threshold is never reached. Resolution uses only finalized daily figures to ensure accuracy.
Trade "Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 58%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.