Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

This market asks whether a US ally will acquire its first nuclear weapon before 2027. Resolution requires credible confirmation from international nuclear agencies, a government, or major news outlets that a NATO member or Major Non-NATO Ally has gained independent control of an operational nuclear weapon by year-end 2026. Nuclear sharing arrangements without independent control don't count, nor does any Israeli admission of nuclear capability. The market tracks a significant geopolitical development with major implications for global security.

Trade "Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 6%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.