Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

This market resolves YES if Alireza Arafi exercises de facto control over Iran's government on December 31, 2026. De facto control means effectively commanding the armed forces, running executive institutions, and making binding national decisions-regardless of formal title or international recognition. If someone else demonstrably holds primary governing authority over Iran at that time, or if no single individual exercises effective control, the market resolves NO.

Trade "Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 1%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.