Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

This market asks whether China will launch a military invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027. It resolves YES if China initiates a military offensive intended to seize control of any inhabited territory administered by the Republic of China, including its islands. Resolution will be determined by official statements from China, Taiwan, the UN, or UN Security Council members, or by consensus among credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

Trade "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 6%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.