Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

This market tracks whether China will launch a military invasion of Taiwan by late September 2026. It resolves YES if China initiates a military offensive aimed at controlling any part of Taiwan or its inhabited islands. Resolution relies on official statements from China, Taiwan, the UN, or UN Security Council members, supplemented by credible news reporting if needed. All other scenarios resolve NO.

Trade "Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 3%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.