Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

This market asks whether Russia will fully control all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026. It resolves YES if nine key municipalities-Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, Pokrovsk, Dobropillia, Oleksandrivka, Cherkaske, and Sviatohirsk-are simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map, indicating Russian control, and remain so through the next daily update. The shading must persist continuously and reflect assessed Russian control or recent gains, not infiltration areas. Any other outcome resolves NO.

Trade "Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 2%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.