Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?

This market tracks whether Russia will capture a specific intersection in Havrylivka, Ukraine by June 30, 2026. It resolves YES if the location at coordinates 48.0728° N, 36.5235° E appears shaded red on the Institute for the Study of War's daily map, indicating Russian control that persists through the next update cycle. A negotiated settlement granting Russia de facto control of the territory would also trigger a YES resolution. Any temporary Russian advance that doesn't endure through subsequent map updates will not qualify.

Trade "Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 2%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.