Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

This market tracks whether Russia will launch a military invasion of any NATO member state before the end of June 2026. It resolves YES if Russia initiates an offensive designed to seize territory in a NATO country, including covert operations by unmarked Russian forces intended to establish control. The resolution will be determined by consensus among credible news sources. Current territorial boundaries as of May 28, 2025, define what counts as NATO territory for this market.

Trade "Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 1%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.