Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

This market tracks whether the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through May 24. It resolves YES if no qualifying US kinetic military action occurs on Iranian soil by that date. A qualifying action means aerial strikes, drone attacks, or missile strikes launched by US military forces that impact Iranian territory. Other forms of military activity, such as cyber operations or strikes outside Iranian borders, do not count. Resolution is based on official US government confirmation or overwhelming consensus from credible reporting sources.

Trade "Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 99%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.