Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

This market tracks whether the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in place through May 26. It resolves YES if no US kinetic military action occurs on Iranian soil by that date. A qualifying action is defined narrowly as aerial bombs, drones, or missiles launched by US forces that impact Iranian territory. Other forms of military engagement, such as ground operations or cyberattacks, do not count. The market stays open one additional day to allow confirmation of any actions occurring near the deadline.

Trade "Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 0%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.