Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

This market tracks whether the US-Iran ceasefire remains in place through May 31. It resolves Yes if no qualifying US military action occurs on Iranian soil by that date. A qualifying action means US aerial strikes, drones, or missiles that impact Iranian territory and are confirmed within one day. Other military operations, including ground incursions or cyberattacks, do not count. Resolution is based on credible reporting consensus.

Trade "Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 1%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.