Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?
This market resolves based on which party wins the New York 8th congressional district House seat in the 2026 midterm elections on November 4, 2026. It will resolve YES if a Republican candidate is elected to represent NY-08 in the U.S. House of Representatives. Party affiliation will be determined by the candidate's official ballot listing or, if unclear, by their most recent stated intent to caucus with a party. Resolution will be based on credible reporting consensus, with official Federal Election Commission results used to settle any ambiguities.
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