Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

This market asks whether Ukraine will recapture any territory within Crimea by June 30, 2026. It resolves YES if Ukrainian forces control any Crimean land, whether through military action or a negotiated settlement where actual control is established. The primary resolution source is the ISW Ukraine map, with fallback sources if unavailable. Once any Crimean territory is captured, subsequent losses do not affect the YES outcome.

Trade "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?" on PremiumBlock - a decentralized, on-chain prediction market. The market currently prices YES at about 1%. Settle in USDC with wallet sign-in and no KYC.